matrixmann | Erinnerung

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Erinnerung

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2022: Russia starts an endeavor that Western sources prophesied about for months and which some sympathizers of it say it was inevitable for 8 years already - the Russian Federation invades the former Eastern territories of Ukraine (since 2014: the self-proclaimed independent peoples’ republics of Donezk and Luhansk), officially calling it a “special military operation” in order to stop the ongoing bloodshed against ethnic Russians that takes place on these territories since shortly after a coup d'état in Kiev known as “Euromaidan”.

The situation is still ongoing with no end of the hostilities in sight - and due to the entanglement of several European countries and the United States of America in this issue (making it a matter of larger extent than just a regional conflict between neighboring countries), on both sides, everyone has to watch their mouth what to say and write and how about the conflict in public.

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After two years of this direct war between Russia and former Ukraine population and European, American weaponry Putin is only sorry he hasn't started earlier...

It's kind of interesting what mostly has been stopping him — Russian money at European and American banks or what he is saying his naivity and believing in honesty of western politicians...

Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians and Russians had got killed already but... Ukraine is still standing... I doubt it will last for long though, one year maybe but the conflict could still go for years if Europe and USA will send more and more people and weapons ti let it go... Intresting what the European economy will be looking like after a decade of such intensive confrontation on all the levels, when all trade lines as at Red sea as in Atlantic could be cut off by some Russian proxi...

Intresting what the European economy will be looking like after a decade of such intensive confrontation on all the levels, when all trade lines as at Red sea as in Atlantic could be cut off by some Russian proxi...

As it looks like already now, some proxy that sabotages trade routes won't be needed. Already the relations that have been cut off, in combination with the world market resonances on excluding one major supplier of oil and natural gas and other natural resources (such as wood), and making it necessary to restructure supply chains to other sources of them for the country which practice this exclusion-policy (making the products coming out of them way more expensive 'cause nothing is as cheap as Russian ((illegally cut) wood) - all these things already throw Europe into an economic depression. Especially the FRG.
Currently it's only still covered by the high inflation because final products are being sold for higher prices than before - the surplus from these sales is what still makes the statistics show small economic growth.
Looking into the production sector - it's already noticeable.
Fewer orders, smaller orders (plus noticeably higher prices for the goods) - leading to "producing less, selling less", and what that means in the long term, it's quite as easy to conclude...

(On a side note: I wonder what the statistics are going to say during the course of this exclusion endeavor because the supply chains of the base resources have been restructured to environmentally way more harmful and dirtier pathways than before. - Like, for example, LNG. Ships which cool gas so far down that it becomes liquid are just a way more bigger consumer of energy in order to transport energy than two long pipelines through the Baltic Sea which only need normal maintenance, but otherwise work silently without much additional effort to do so.)

Yes, if we look how USA had prepared Ukraine during decades to future war with Russia it had been started with the fake promises to unite Ukraine with EU and to protect it inside Nato, the second was a demand to cut ties with Russia and the third — throwing at last Ukrainians into an economic depression to fuel the radicalisation... It is funny to hear now that the president of France now is telling he is ready to sent French soldiers to fight with Russia at Ukraine... ))) So, yes Europe, time to prepare...

What Macron recently stated - due to it suposedly having been on a bigger pro-Ukraine event, should probably seen as something of the usual pure opportunism. He didn't really think that through to the end, he just threw something into the room which he thought would "aid" or "do Ukraine good".

But, in fact, indirectly, he did a chunk of a service with that.
Because all the other European and NATO countries signaled refusal - or at least no support for that.
In other words, he brought to the surface: NATO is not going to come to "save" Ukraine. NATO and the EU countries aren't willing to enter the big war with Russia.
And that is... more like a kick in the ass of that clown from Kiev. - If that one even notices it at all.

Wow :)
Non-common level of knowing RF-UA conflict for European citizen!

As you see, Russian govt is playng a role of "local" US.
"If US can invade any contry for their purposes, why can't we"?
Also dumb Democrats' policy MADE Russia to became a Chinese ally.

I can't explain such degradation of US politicians - as Russia is the only unblockable anti-Chinese Brückenkopf in case of a war. All what you need - cherish Russian compradors and keep them as much further from Chinese govt as possible. Make an Ukraine from Russia.

Alas, US did gets greedier and didn't want to share Russian raw export with Putins's elite. Get a nickel, lost a buck, geez.

Now we have the war between Chinese and US blocks over Ukraine. And Western block gradually lost in it.

World returned on track of WWI, once distorted from that by Soviet experiment...

Also, surprised whith how much people in both compradorias don't want to kill each other - two years of war and it's still a very local conflict, nothing in common with industrial WWII warfare.

It would be great if the war would end by both sides soldiers' revolution. And I think there is still chance for this - we all seen Prigozhin's mercenaries march on Moscow. Funny, I was in traffic jam near bridge over Oka river, some 30 km from "wagners'" troops - and that was last defence line before Moscow :) I know, that "wagners" are far-right, if you want to ask.
Maybe we will see a frontline riot on Ukraine side - forceful mobilisation flows a lot of non-Nazi into Ukrainian forces. Maybe they could find their balls and turn their AKs against govt...

That the West didn't get any troops in fully officially is simply very dependent on the fact that the times of plenty are over for it. ALL countries of it.
Going to a full-fledged war with a major power over such a comparatively "small" strip on the map, with it hanging in the air if they could win it - the intelligent people who have any say still in the Western countries seem to know that it would mark their own end - on the political world stage and otherwise. Regardless of if a nuclear missle gets send on its way to them or not.
Because the West lacks the resources - personnel as well as guns, ammunition, vehicles, weapon systems and so on - to lead a war with a half-way equal enemy.

The only wars the West was able to win during the last 30 (or so) years were such where either they could establish air superiority (e. g. Yugoslavia, Libya) or where they made war with a country or its leader which was already quite worn down and didn't have many resources anymore to fight back (e. g. Afghanistan, Iraq).
This time, both things aren't possible and haven't been possible to achieve, and the party that is worn down with not many resources on their hands anymore is the country the West supports. - "Favorable" looks completely different...

If thinking it through - yes, it would be the best option if the war was solved by people who had been involved in it (not from their own will) and who are both fed up with it and with the Kasper in Kiev.
Because then Ukraine would get a chance to become something which its own citizens could want (and not what the most influential power that is active in the area would like to see there), and on the other hand - if not a riot coming from the inside, Zelensky will still be in power 10 years in the future. This idiot doesn't give up his position, not voluntarily.
BUT, politically, he's stupid. Technically, he's just an artist without employment. He has no idea about the manners in international politics, no idea about alliances (and which countries he better shouldn't form an alliance with; where "if you and I have the same enemy, let's be friends" doesn't apply) - people who are more experienced in that could knock out his doing even behind his back.
The ony trouble with that seemingly currently is: The idiot has installed a lot of security mechanisms, by which traitors and people who would have their own plans about a solution to the war are seemingly quickly found out (or Zelensky's "friends" help him with discovering these) and arrested.
It's not that easy to get something so hidden from him or the lackeys that work for him that it reaches fruition and he won't be able do anything against it anymore.

If thinking about a "solution" or even "peace", he's the greatest obstacle - at least the greatest obstacle in Ukraine itself (not counting the outside players which are involved in the issue too).

Well, after the war on Iraq and the surroundings of it, having taken place without the agreement of the UN, so the "international community" was shown to be irrelevant for if a war on earth takes place or not to everyone living in them, one could get upon such thoughts "if the US can do that, then we can too - which terrible things are going to happen to us for that?".
The only condition is: Be as big and as important enough, so that no-one can crush you right away, either through military means, financial means, trade boycotts and so on.
There's only a few countries on the earth which are in such a position (well - better it is so that it's not many more, or otherwise there would be even more war going on again in the world).

One thing the war in Ukraine and the international "new" Cold War against the Russian Federation has shown is: How few politicians, many other spin doctors and "activists" of all types of stort understand about global economy and the logistics of even the very basic things that end upon everyone's table regularly.
Because the world economy is already so intertwined - one falls, or gets boycotted, and the rest of the world may end up in deep problems. Either regarding raw materials, finished goods or the financial markets and the consumer prices go crazy.
As for the financial markets, it's an earthquake if suddenly the world supply of anything shrinks at a rate of 30%, or even 20%, only from political reasons (meaining: the item(s) would physically exist, but parts of the world market are not being allowed anymore to buy and trade them).

By the way: If one outsources so much production of basics to China, only because the costs of the production become incredibly cheap then, and then later wants to call for a war against China, they're incredibly stupid.
China doesn't need to send a single soldier anymore; just keep the container ships in the harbors (with the goods which would have gone to the warmonger), and then count the days how long it takes until the warmonger(s) internally or their people go crazy because there's nothing to shop or everything has become increadibly expensive.
Grab a camping chair and some food and drink to "enjoy" seeing how someone overstreched themselves and misjudged something.

(And knowing why this would be so, isn't even complicated science.
Just take a look where the goods in you hands come from and you'll see how very NOT the goods-spoiled Western world can do without the Middle Kingdom.)

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