I agree that the US has its fingers in a great many pies around the world, and that the US has plainly overextended itself, whereas China is rising and other regional powers are chomping at the bit. My number one statistic for our overextension is that our gigantic budget deficit is even larger than our gigantic military budget — we're putting our entire global dominance on the credit card!
As for whether/when this will break out into general global hostilities ... I have no idea, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happened during this decade. Up through 2016 the US had a bipartisan pro-China approach to our foreign and trade policies. We've reversed and now have a bipartisan anti-China approach. This increases the chances of conflict. The tighter we draw the noose around China, the more likely she will lash out in violence, as happened with Japan in 1941 after we imposed an oil embargo.
And we may yet see the Ukraine war spill into other countries who have zero love for Russian annexation, because they've experienced it directly themselves — especially Poland and the Baltic states. Ancient Eastern European animosities have not yet disappeared ...
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Date: 24 January 2023 01:15 pm (UTC)I agree that the US has its fingers in a great many pies around the world, and that the US has plainly overextended itself, whereas China is rising and other regional powers are chomping at the bit. My number one statistic for our overextension is that our gigantic budget deficit is even larger than our gigantic military budget — we're putting our entire global dominance on the credit card!
As for whether/when this will break out into general global hostilities ... I have no idea, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happened during this decade. Up through 2016 the US had a bipartisan pro-China approach to our foreign and trade policies. We've reversed and now have a bipartisan anti-China approach. This increases the chances of conflict. The tighter we draw the noose around China, the more likely she will lash out in violence, as happened with Japan in 1941 after we imposed an oil embargo.
And we may yet see the Ukraine war spill into other countries who have zero love for Russian annexation, because they've experienced it directly themselves — especially Poland and the Baltic states. Ancient Eastern European animosities have not yet disappeared ...