Wartime

Danke, liebe Kleingangster und Assis in den Großstädten, dass jetzt wieder ein genrerelles Feuerwerksverbot auf den Tisch kommt, nur weil ihr zu dumm und zu dreist seid, verantwortungsvoll und wie Erwachsene damit umzugehen!!
Am Ende wird es nämlich wieder so kommen wie immer - der gemeine Bürger gibt eine weitere Freiheit ab, im Glauben, das Versprechen von Sicherheit möge davon Realität werden, schließlich wird es aber doch nicht kommen, weil es solche Leute gibt wie euch, die wissen, wo sie sich ihr Spielzeug auch weiterhin besorgt kriegen, und die Politik ist wieder mal zu dumm, das in ihren Schädel hineinzukriegen - wenn nicht sogar, dass man es ihnen unterstellen möge, dass sie das auch gar nicht beabsichten, sondern dass es nur darum geht, der Bürger, der sich korrekt verhält und und an die Gesetze, darf mal wieder ein Stück weniger.
Weil Politik inzwischen damit ein Problem hat, dass der Bürger überhaupt noch was anderes darf, außer Beifall zu klatschen, der vorgeschriebenen Einheitsmeinung zu folgen und jeden Tag fleißig Geld anschaffen zu gehen wie die Nutten auf dem Strich.
(Anbei, wer sich hat von der Medienhysterie um die "Kugelbomben" vereinnahmen lassen: Das Zeug ist keine illegale Hexenmagie, sondern Profifeuerwerk, was sonst üblicherweise in die Höhe geschossen wird. In mehreren hundert Metern Luft und von nichts weiter umgeben als solcher richten sie keinen Schaden an - wer schon mal bei Feuerwerk bei Veranstaltungen laute Kanonenschläge gehört hat, recht wahrscheinlich wird das genau so eine gewesen sein, weil das eine typische Geräuschkulise von ihnen ist. - Solches Profifeurwerk gehört natürlich nicht in die Fußgängerzone oder in die Hände von irgendwelchen Vagabunden und Kleingangstern, die es "lustig" finden, ihr Viertel damit zu terrorisieren und in ein Schlachtfeld zu verwandeln, dass dem Einschlag von Kriegsmunition danach in nichts nachsteht. - Wenn solche Feuerwerkskörper es in die Hände von Amateuren und Kriminellen schaffen, sollte man weniger die Frage nach einem Verbot von allem privaten Feuerwerk stellen, sondern wo bekommen diese Figuren diese her - und ist man mittlerweile schon längst nicht mehr Herr seiner Unterwelt in den größeren Städten. Können die, die sich daneben benehmen und an keine Regeln außer ihren eigenen halten wollen, mittlerweile dort machen, was sie wollen, es interessiert keinen und es hält sie auch keiner auf? Oder beim Aufhalten - stehen diejenigen, die das auch von Gesetzes wegen machen wollten, ziemlich allein und schutzlos dabei da, sodass sie es aus eigener Bedrohungslage nicht machen?)

Wenn sich eines über das deutsche Asylsystem relativ sicher sagen lässt, ist es das Folgende:

Es kommt nicht damit zurecht, wenn zu viele Antragssteller auf einmal da sind.

Es funktioniert nur gut, wenn sich die Antragssteller noch da befinden, wo sie sind, und das Territorum der BRD nur betreten, wenn sie die Genehmigung dafür erhalten haben.
Wenn, polemisch formuliert, der Amtsschimmel es sich einteilen und aussuchen kann wie viele Anträge er in einem bestimmten vorgegebenen Zeitraum (pro Tag, pro Woche oder pro Monat) bearbeitet kriegt.

Stehen die Antragssteller am Grenzzaun und drängen auf ihre Einreise oder halten sich bereits auf dem Gebiet der BRD auf, und sind dazu auch noch sehr zahlreich (und jeden Tag kommen neue Antragssteller hinzu, in ähnlicher Menge wie am Vortag), kommt die deutsche Bürokratie mit der Bearbeitung der Fälle überhaupt nicht hinterher.
Ist sie hoffnungslos überlastet und das System wie gelähmt.

In the light of today as the topic of “negotiations” is continuously being wiped off the table with arguments like “Putin started this war” and “Why should Ukraine aspire surrender while they’ve been attacked?” - let’s recall why negotiations are held at all in war scenarios.

When do officials and representatives hold them with representatives of the opponent?
Huh?
First and foremost, it’s not a question of giving up immaterial “values” and virtues” that one side thinks to have on its side - it’s not a question of ideology and idealism.
Plainly, it’s a matter of pragmatism.

Negotiations over truces and “peace” are being held if one side recognizes that it’s about to lose and being crushed, so the smarter people among the state officials figure they’ll be better off stopping to try to win the war by force and rather try to save the slice of the cake that they still have under their control instead of eventually maybe ending up with none of it.

The essence of sitting down to hold negotiations is not surrendering and handing everything over to the enemy that it wants, but more than that securing some little bits of what one still has instead of losing everything and then depending on the arbitrariness or mercy of the winning opponent what few bread crumbs will be granted to oneself.

You practically do that by trying to find things to offer to the enemy fraction for which it shows itself willing to give up the demands for another item. And you do that up until the enemy fraction becomes content and leaves again.

It’s no different than negotiating a price in a handshake deal.
A buyer has interest in obtaining a particular item, the seller tells you the price, but the buyer doesn’t have enough money or doesn’t want to pay that much, so it needs to approach the seller and see if they are hardened in their stance or if there’s some room that can be debated over.

In that case, it’s “only” that the item that you want to buy is “peace” - or at least a truce so that the fighting and the destruction stops.

Negotiating is a tactic that is known in wars and armed conflicts for centuries. As old as such scenarios.

So this isn’t like an “absolutely crazy idea” in this conflict.
Rather it should be asked: What speaks objectively so much against it?

(Unless the explanation is that there are very stubborn humans involved in this specific case that are occupied by ideology and emotional biases who have a very distorted understanding about war at all - that all that there is to obtain is winning, like in a manic fanatic attitude heading for a crusade, heading towards total war, not just mere self-defense.)

Nun wurde auch die Krim-Brücke durch einen gezielten Anschlag stark beschädigt...
Sowohl die Fahrbahn für Kraftfahrzeuge als auch die Eisenbahnlinie.

An alle, die aktuell für eine Revision der jetzigen Energiepolitik sind und für die Wiederaufnahme der Beziehungen mit Russland eintreten bzw. auf der Straße demonstrieren gehen:

Soweit wie die Dinge inzwischen fortgeschritten sind, muss euch leider auch klar sein, dass es inzwischen nicht mehr nur mit einer Bitte um Verzeihung und einen Bußgang nach Canossa getan ist, um die alten Rohstofflieferungen und die dazugehörigen günstigen Konditionen wieder zurückzubekommen.
Mittlerweile muss man Russland schon etwas (an)bieten, damit von Seiten Gazproms überhaupt die Initiative erfolgt, das Angebot für solche Verträge wieder zu unterbreiten.
Solch große Schäden hat das Verhalten der Ampel-Koalition inzwischen verursacht.

Here, with the war in Ukraine active soon-to-be for half a year, the world is still waiting for Russia to collapse under the consequences of that decision.
Instead consumer prices exploded around the world, certain goods have become even rarer than before after the slight relief of the global economy from Covid-19, and food supplies and heating have become not safe (the latter - let alone how much it will cost in the end and if you can afford it, if your wallet’s budget is tight).

May it not be that the community of the so-called “Western states” miscalculated in a very high degree in this issue?

It is as it has always been: If some figure with a popular name and/or executive power in its hands shows up in TV or other mainstream mass media presenting a story with an emotionally heavily loaded tone, it's time to get skeptic.
'Cause never has this story that the person comes up with truly been as it is presented.

After a failed attempt to pull Russia into a war with Ukraine again for the millionth time (the so-called "invasion plans" from December) since the coup d'etat in 2014 and a failed attempt to overthrow the government in Belarus in 2020, the full-grown violence in Kazakhstan now is supposed to be an act of "accident" or honestly result from domestic issues?
This big picture that you get see rather looks like the so-called "orange peel strategy" ("Orangenschalen-Strategie") that already the German Kaiser William II tried to use in order to weaken the Russian Empire, win on the Eastern front in WWI and gain control over Russian territories. - Breaking border territories away from the core empire, like peeling an orange, in order to receive the rich essence lying in the main land.

All three countries used to be and/or are important partners to Russia, in two of them have violent riots taken place over the years with verifiable moral, media, material and financial support of West European countries and the United States.

"Evil to him who evil thinks" if you scratch your head and wonder why, of all places on the earth who are plagued with inner conflicts (which is practically every country by now due to the enemyship against the Covid measures by a growingly radical and violent minority of the population; or take the 1-year-anniversary of the storming of United States Capitol in mind), such coordinated violent actions happen in Kazakhstan - and not in, like, some Western country?

Shortage of materials while the order books are all full... That's what it turns into if you afford yourself a globalized economy with everything of lower complexity degree production outsourced to just a few places in the world and some link in the chain suddenly becomes absent for whatever reason - or some selected player(s) suddenly buy(s) up all the few supply that exists at all.

These days it’s ringing one year with Covid-19 being globally around - and, thinking realistically, the end still can not be foreseen. Although, admittedly, the means against the disease that this new coronavirus causes have grown from that status of “zero” last year.

So, let’s forge a summarization what there could be learned through the course of this year past...

One thing that, for sure, could be very clearly learned, wherever you lived on this planet: Capitalism is on its last legs. Or better say: It’s not the economy form anymore which can seemingly supply everyone with everything he/she needs. Also, it’s not the capitalism anymore that people used to know from glorious and wealthy times.
Why is that?
It’s because of the globalized economy that is around there now, that it has formed over decades, and the “development plan” of “let’s develop the world and bring supply and goods to the most difficult areas of the world” has shifted to “let’s make money with the least amount of work and investment” - which in practice means “minimal setup for everything, so that the circle of making money is still being kept up, but don’t think about the future or possible disturbances of that one setup for achieving something”. A wobbly base for supply with necessary goods.

As the virus went around the globe and other states than China and its East Asian neighbors realized that this is a topic that affects them also, this should have become very visible as nearly all countries of the world suddenly charged the market of face masks, disposable gloves and protection suits and found themselves getting way too few than needed because most of the production worldwide had been outsourced to China. - Here not the Middle Kingdom is to blame, but just greed, first world arrogance and a slightly racist mindset of Western enterprises which think like “things that have become minor activities which get paid just a few pennies - these can very well be done by some primitive people; for us this is beyond our standards”.
Enterprises and the big economy never wasted a thought about “What if there could suddenly be a spike in need?”, they didn’t care for a home-brew supply just in case whatever happens.
The only thing they cared about was their profit and about exploiting some folks in a country far away from their headquarters. And they have assured themselves of that never anything is going to happen which may break their concept how they had arranged the supply chains.

As the first countries had to operate with national lockdowns because of infection rates spiking, supply chains being more dominated by greed and thoughtlessness than anything else could be witnessed with food items.
At that time, and still it is so, some countries literally “had the task” to produce ware X and none else did that.
Why? Because of “planned economy”. “Planned economy” that doesn’t serve peoples’ needs and keeping up a public order, but just big enterprises and corporations making the most in profit with the least amount of bet - which had been arranged this way by corrupt politicians which realized the laws and legislature for that over decades.
Simultaneously, it became noticeable how many food items of particular types nationally were produced merely for exporting them to some other nation(s) - because then, these wares once remained in their countries of origin because the international trade and border traffic strongly reduced all by themselves.
So actually there’s a strong overproduction in particular goods just in favor of export in each country because some circumstances for creating them seemingly or factually fit advantageously for those who draw the most gain from the price of them and the separate national economies have been shifted to incredibly monocultures, leading to strong dependence on each other and therefore to fragile supply chains that break down as soon as anything on a larger scale strikes and disturbs their functionality. (Besides: Also leading to incredible one-sided ecological burdens).

Which, in the end, leads to countries producing some particular stuff in such large quantities that they could barely use them up themselves to supply their own people, and other stuff being produced in such few or no quantities that they’re literally fucked if they’re on their own for once.

This is not optimization of production and international “division of labor” according to the concept of David Ricardo. This is abuse of currency exchange courses for the sake of making dead substance called “money”, exploiting one people - the one that manages to be cheaper than all other -, playing multiple ends against the middle for no practical use of human society as a whole, destroying and ruining nature along the way, and even endangering the prosperity that mankind has made it to over centuries (because infrastructure already erected is being left to decay or to reduction due to costs, but which also results in decrease of performance, safety and stability). Including preventing other people from the 2nd or 3rd world countries getting to comparable levels of prosperity - because infrastructure in their countries sees no real development and investment into it anymore, other than if it is for broadening the circle of generating money for some far-away-living already wealthy person in a skyscraper.

During the year with Covid-19 around, witnessing time episodes through the natural seasons with more or lesser restrictions in each country, the overall global economy has a little adapted to the circumstances given - even though, noticeable in many spots and situations, against its will. Actually the big economy wanted to go on and act like nothing is wrong, like the virus and the disease doesn’t exist.
Supply chains have a little adapted through the course too because the countries and their national economies individually realized that this isn’t going to be over so soon and they are going to have to adapt if they want to evade chaos, bottlenecks and public panic - all, additionally, to their own personal disfavor too.

But, one point still remains as it was before: Protection clothes, masks and corona test kits still are being mostly produced and China and other East Asian countries. - The most important goods in order to actually manage and decrease this pandemic.
And the (capitalistically-organized) world economy doesn’t seem to see a problem with that. Forgotten are the troubles of the past spring in which the self-declared “wealthiest countries of the world” were running around like scared chicken and panicked over their lack of supply with basic medical goods for hygiene.
All progresses according to habit meanwhile... With nothing really learned from it.

That is why there is to say that capitalism is at its end.
That is why there is to say that the capitalism that people knew, which once helped developing the world, is no more.
Now it is just an economic system rooted down on fragile legs, existing mostly for making a few dozen people in the world rich (rich with something that has no meaning in nature and that can’t feed you if there are no food items to buy with it), and even these big partakers actually just wish for getting well through the breakdown if it happens. Because they somehow know that this stripped down machinery isn’t gonna last forever anymore.
But changing the concept or coming down from their “standards” of greed, how much this shall be supposed to bring them in “gain”, is like blasphemy to them - like they’re going to break a leg if they once be content with their amounted mass of money and sacrifice some in order to keep their own base for a living upright.

So it is either up to you and me to come up with something else in time, to shift structures back or erect new ones as best as possible under that reign in order to secure our own well-being - because the people currently sitting at the levers that make the world go around won’t be willing to make that happen. They just sit and watch and try to figure out how much juice the lemon still exudes.
All the while not really caring for human life, animal life, plant life, civilization, health of the masses or mankind being still alive in a hundred years and in good shape, not degenerated.

So - what could be witnessed in the past year with Covid-19 is the expectation of what can be seen in the coming year. Maybe milder, probably rather worse...
‘Cause it cannot be forgotten that also vaccine manufacturers are just subjects interested in making money. - Guess what they do if someone else discovers or engineers are way better and more easier vaccine or treatment for the disease?
Of course, they’ll try to shut that one down and ruin that person... Even if it’s factually correct with what it has found/engineered.
The laws of a corrupted market full of predators are still intact, even though there is a plague out there.